Results for "economy / economics"

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Wall Street reactions to China trade escalation marked by fear, uncertainty

August 5, 2019

After wrapping up its worst week of the year, the slide in stocks gained momentum as the trade war between the U.S. and China took on a new dimension. (More:​ Are China trade tensions a concern among your clients?) Equity losses accelerated...

Is a recession coming? Yield curve signals loudest warning since 2007

August 5, 2019

The latest eruption in the U.S.-China trade dispute pushed a widely watched Treasury-market recession indicator to the highest alert since 2007. Rates on 10-year notes sank to 1.714% on Monday, completely erasing the surge that followed President...

Fed rate cut 'locked in' despite good economy

July 31, 2019

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower interest rates by a quarter-point at its meeting that concludes Wednesday and leave the option open for additional moves despite demands by President Donald J. Trump for a "large" rate cut. "We...

Fed scraps 'patient' rate approach in prelude to potential cut

June 19, 2019

The Federal Reserve indicated a readiness to cut interest rates for the first time in more than a decade to sustain a near-record U.S. economic expansion, citing "uncertainties" in their outlook. While chairman Jerome Powell and fellow policy...

Federal Reserve seen on track for rate cut this year

June 14, 2019

The Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates this year but not nearly as aggressively as investors expect, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. Respondents to a June 7-12 poll saw policymakers lowering rates by a quarter point...

Mohamed El-Erian puts Democratic tax proposals in perspective

May 7, 2019

With nearly two dozen Democratic candidates now running for president, many of the contenders are trying to stand out from the crowd by proposing various forms of tax hikes on the wealthy and tax breaks for those who aren't yet wealthy. For...

Wealthy US investors sitting on cash despite optimism in economy

May 7, 2019

A majority of wealthy American investors are optimistic about U.S. stocks, but are still sitting on piles of cash, according to a UBS Group survey. A sunny outlook reigned among 57% of the survey's U.S. respondents. The survey, conducted in...

Morgan Stanley bear unbowed after bad call

April 29, 2019

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson acknowledges he made the wrong call on the U.S. equity market this year. But that hasn't dissuaded him from holding onto one of Wall Street's most bearish forecasts. With the S&P 500 Index at a record high after...

Bob Doll says Fed likely will 'murder' economic growth

April 29, 2019

The next economic recession in the U.S. isn't likely to hit for at least a few years, according to Bob Doll, chief equity strategist and senior portfolio manager at Nuveen. He said the country's near-record period of economic expansion still...

Beware misreading inverted yield curve

March 25, 2019

At the end of last week, the three-month Treasury bills' yield rose above the yield for 10-year Treasuries for the first time since 2007, prompting warnings that the U.S. is headed for recession later this year or in early 2020. That's because,...

A recession? Financial advisers say it's right around the corner — or not

February 25, 2019

Even though a recent study of business economists shows that more than three-quarters expect the U.S. economy to be in recession by the end of 2021, financial professionals are not nearly in sync on the idea of an economic slowdown. "While the...

Most economists see U.S. recession by 2021

February 25, 2019

More than three-quarters of business economists expect the U.S. to enter a recession by the end of 2021, though a majority still expect the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates this year. Ten percent see a recession beginning this...

Washington dysfunction will stir 'a lot of market volatility' this year

February 12, 2019

The political dynamic in Washington will likely lead to a bumpier stock market this year, with issues such as the debt limit, trade and oversight hearings looming large, experts said Tuesday morning in New York. The split government, divided...

Trump State of the Union: What advisers want to hear

February 5, 2019

Financial advisers want President Donald J. Trump to put aside divisive political rhetoric and give a positive message about the economy and solutions to pressing problems during his address to Congress tonight. In his State of the Union address,...

Bond titan blasts 'misguided' bet that Fed hikes are over

February 1, 2019

A investor responsible for $150 billion worth of debt warned markets are getting ahead of themselves with big bets that the Federal Reserve is taking an extended pause in raising interest rates. "The market's assumption that the Fed will not...

Twists and turns await anxious advisers as roller-coaster ride continues into 2019

January 5, 2019

The roller-coaster ride of 2018 has financial advisers bracing for uncertainty in the year ahead. Whether talking about the economy, the financial markets, Fed policy or asset allocation, the financial advisory space appears to be hunkering...

Wall Street could be facing fewer fines in 2019 as lone SEC Democrat leaves

December 19, 2018

For Wall Street banks and other companies accused of malfeasance, the risk of getting slapped with a big fine by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will soon drop significantly. That's because Kara Stein, the SEC's lone Democratic commissioner,...

Growing chasm between rich and poor divides country into two Americas

December 19, 2018

U.S. unemployment is near a 50-year low, economic growth is brisk and the stock market — despite a disappointing 2018 — has paid generous returns since the financial crisis of a decade ago. But not for everyone. The chasm between rich and...

Fed hikes are rare when stocks are this battered

December 18, 2018

Donald Trump's hectoring aside, it's exceedingly rare the Federal Reserve raises interest rates when stocks are behaving this badly. In fact, were policymakers to follow through with their widely expected hike Wednesday, it would be the first...

Outstanding U.S. student loan debt reaches record $1.47 trillion

December 17, 2018

U.S. student loan debt outstanding reached a record $1.465 trillion last month and one particular set of borrowers is having a hard time paying back their loans, according to a Bloomberg analysis of student loan securitization data. This debt...

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